New Poll Shows Trump and Biden in a Dead Heat for 2024 Election

In the latest national poll, the race between former and stands at a razor-thin margin, with Trump narrowly leading by a mere 1 point.

Trump and Biden, Biden vs. Trump
Trump and Biden (Image source: Twitter)

Released on Thursday, the Emerson College survey unveils a tight race, with 46 percent of voters backing the former president, just edging out Biden's 45 percent. A notable 8 percent of respondents remain undecided as we approach the November general .

Trump's slight advantage falls within the margin of error, rendering the contest essentially a deadlock.

Upon probing undecided voters on their leanings, Trump gains an additional point, garnering 51 percent against Biden's 49 percent, as per the poll results.

Even with the inclusion of third-party candidates, Trump maintains a tenuous lead, as the number of undecided voters decreases, the survey indicates. In this scenario, Trump secures 43 percent compared to Biden's 42 percent. Independent candidate . Kennedy Jr. commands 8 percent of support, while 6 percent remain undecided. Independent candidate Cornell West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein each receive 1 percent of the vote, according to the poll.

Although Trump leads among registered voters, Biden surpasses the former president among likely voters, securing 51 percent against Trump's 49 percent.

“This challenges conventional wisdom, disputing the idea that Trump supporters exhibit higher enthusiasm,” remarked Spencer Kimbell, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “This marks the first time we've included a question about general election voting intentions in the Emerson Poll this election cycle.”

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Among independent voters, Trump maintains a 3 percent lead, garnering 44 percent compared to Biden's 41 percent, with 14 percent undecided. Even with third-party contenders in the mix, Trump sustains his three-point advantage over Biden, while Kennedy's support rises to 10 percent, as per the survey.

Biden's approval rating in the survey hovers at 40 percent, while 51 percent express disapproval of his presidency. Approximately 9 percent of respondents remain neutral towards the president.

The survey reveals the economy as the primary concern for voters, commanding 35 percent of attention. Immigration follows closely at 22 percent, with threats to democracy at 13 percent, health care at 7 percent, and at 6 percent.

Conducted between April 2-3 among 1,438 registered voters, the Emerson College Polling national survey carries a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.

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